Thresholds
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Each criterion comes with a set of threshold values that scenarios have to surpass in order to be assigned a specific level of concern in regards to this criterion.
The thresholds values come in two levels of concern: medium concern and strong concern.
Some thresholds are defined in relation to some reference, as set by the reference data column. The reference data is defined separately. The values defined as thresholds therefore have to be multiplied with the values from the reference data before applying the criteria to scenario data.
Historical Vetting
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | LEVEL OF CONCERN | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historical Vetting|Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | Emissions|CO2|Energy and Industrial Processes | World | 2010, 2015, 2020, 2025 | range(CEDS-2025, CEDS-2025-extrapol25,CEDS-2025-COVIDaveraged) | dimensionless | strong | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Historical Vetting|Primary Energy | Primary Energy|Coal, Primary Energy|Oil, Primary Energy|Gas | World | 2010, 2015, 2020, 2025 | range(IEA-EB-2024, IEA-EB-2024-extrapol25,IEA-EB-2024-COVIDaveraged,BP,BP-extrapol25) | dimensionless | strong | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Historical Vetting|Final Energy | Final Energy | World | 2010, 2015, 2020, 2025 | range(IEA-EB-2024, IEA-EB-2024-extrapol25,IEA-EB-2024-COVIDaveraged,BP,BP-extrapol25) | dimensionless | strong | 0.75 | 1.25 |
Feasibility Concern
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | LEVEL OF CONCERN | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feasibility Concern|Hydropower Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 1175.37 | 1606.66 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Hydropower Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Hydro | World | 2030 | GW | strong | 979.43 | 2117.58 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Near-term Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 320.33 | 441.92 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Near-term Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | World | 2030 | GW | strong | 269.75 | 479.92 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Long-term Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | World | 2040 | GW | medium | 694 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Long-term Nuclear Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Nuclear | World | 2050 | GW | medium | 950 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Near-term Carbon Capture | Carbon Capture | World | 2030 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 44.02 | 152.47 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Near-term Carbon Capture | Carbon Capture | World | 2030 | Mt CO2/yr | strong | 0.0 | 457.89 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Long-term Carbon Capture | Carbon Capture | World | 2035 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 1300 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Long-term Carbon Capture | Carbon Capture | World | 2040 | Mt CO2/yr | medium | 4300 | ||
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2025 | GW | medium | 2083.0 | 3152 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2025 | GW | strong | 1609.2 | 3895.6 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 4350.2 | 8163.7 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Solar PV Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Solar | World | 2030 | GW | strong | 2683.2 | 10896 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2025 | GW | medium | 1138.0 | 1570 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2025 | GW | strong | 945.0 | 1862 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2030 | GW | medium | 1719.0 | 2853 | |
| Feasibility Concern|Onshore Wind Capacity | Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Onshore | World | 2030 | GW | strong | 1220.0 | 3655 |
Sustainability Concern
| CRITERION | VARIABLE | REGION | YEAR | REFERENCE DATA | UNIT | LEVEL OF CONCERN | LOWER | UPPER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sustainability Concern|Food Availability | Food Availability [per capita] | World | kcal/cap/day | medium | 2100.0 | 5000 | ||
| Sustainability Concern|Unsustainable Bioenergy Use | Primary Energy|Biomass | World | EJ/yr | medium | 100 | |||
| Sustainability Concern|Unsustainable Bioenergy Use | Primary Energy|Biomass | World | EJ/yr | strong | 245 | |||
| Sustainability Concern|Exceeding Prudent Limit For Geological Carbon Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage | World | Gt CO2eq/yr | strong | 1460 | |||
| Sustainability Concern|Exceeding Prudent Limit For Geological Carbon Storage | Carbon Capture|Geological Storage | World | Gt CO2eq/yr | medium | 1290 |